UFC 326:Max Holloway vs. Charles Oliveira 2 Full Card Prediction & Breakdown.
Max Holloway Vs Charles Oliveira 2.
Welcome back to Score Games MMA! Today, we are breaking down and predicting the monumental clash at UFC 326: the long-awaited rematch between Max “Blessed” Holloway and Charles “Do Bronx” Oliveira. This isn’t just a fight; it’s a collision of legacies. Let’s dive into the grit and glory of this lightweight showdown.
A Frightening History: The 2015 “Stinger”
To understand the stakes of this rematch, we have to look back to 2015. Their first meeting ended in one of the most bizarre and terrifying ways in UFC history. Just 99 seconds into the first round, Oliveira shot for a takedown, but as they stood back up, he collapsed, clutching his neck.It was initially feared he had a ruptured esophagus, but Oliveira later revealed it was a severe neck injury that temporarily paralyzed his left side. While Holloway walked away with the “TKO (Injury)” victory, the win always felt incomplete for both warriors. Now, over a decade later, they return to settle the score without the shadow of a freak accident.
Max “Blessed” Holloway: The Volume King.
Max Holloway is arguably the greatest high-volume striker to ever step into the Octagon. His pocket boxing is legendary, utilizing a “death by a thousand cuts” approach that eventually breaks his opponents’ spirits. Combined with an elite-tier takedown defense, Max forces everyone to play his game—a stand-up war.
Max Holloway’s Last 3 Fights:
- vs. Dustin Poirier (UFC 318): A masterful 5-round unanimous decision win to retain his BMF title.
- vs. Ilia Topuria (UFC 308): A heart-wrenching KO loss, showing that even the “Iron Chin” can be cracked.
- vs. Justin Gaethje (UFC 300): The greatest KO in UFC history—a last-second face-plant that broke the internet.
Charles “Do Bronx” Oliveira: The Submission Specialist.
If Max is the king of the feet, Charles is the king of the floor. As the UFC record holder for most submissions, Oliveira is a lethal submission specialist who can find a neck or an arm from any position. However, his striking has evolved into a dangerous Muay Thai style, making him a threat everywhere.
Charles Oliveira’s Last 3 Fights:
- vs. Mateusz Gamrot (2025): A spectacular return to form with a second-round Rear Naked Choke.
- vs. Ilia Topuria (2025): A quick KO loss to the surging champion.
- vs. Michael Chandler (UFC 309): A 5-round tactical war where Oliveira proved his veteran grit with a unanimous decision win.
Fighter Comparison Table: Holloway vs. Oliveira.
| Feature | Max “Blessed” Holloway | Charles “Do Bronx” Oliveira |
|---|---|---|
| Total Fights | 35 | 48 |
| Wins | 27 | 36 |
| Losses | 8 | 11 |
| Draws / NC | 0 | 1 |
| Age | 34 | 36 |
| Height | 5′ 11″ (180 cm) | 5′ 10″ (178 cm) |
| Weight | 155 lbs | 155 lbs |
| Reach | 69 in (175 cm) | 74 in (188 cm) |
| Current Odds | -215 (Favorite) | +165 (Underdog) |
The Breakdown: Precision vs. Pressure
In my expert opinion, this fight is a classic “Striker vs. Grappler” puzzle with a twist.
- The Standing Battle: If Oliveira tries to stand and trade in the pocket with Holloway, there is a 70% chance he gets dismantled. Max’s volume and cardiovascular endurance are too much for Charles over five rounds.
- The Ground Game: If the fight hits the canvas, the script flips. Oliveira has a 70% chance of finishing Max via submission. Max’s grappling is good, but Oliveira is on a different planet.
- The Long Game: If Max can keep his back off the cage and drag this into the championship rounds, I see an 80% chance of a Holloway decision win.
Score Games MMA Prediction:
While Charles Oliveira has the “finisher” aura, Max Holloway’s ability to check leg kicks and maintain distance is the difference-maker. Max has been through the fire and has the warrior’s spirit to survive the early submission threats.
Official Pick: Max Holloway via Late-Round TKO or Unanimous Decision.
What do you think? Can Oliveira find the submission early, or will the “Blessed” era continue in Las Vegas? Let us know your predictions in the comments below!
The Tactical Chess Match: Caio Borralho vs. Reinier de RidderThis is a purist’s dream. Caio “The Natural” Borralho has been on an absolute tear in the Middleweight division. Coming off a massive win against Jared Cannonier, Borralho has proven he belongs in the elite tier. On the other side, the former two-division ONE champion, Reinier “The Dutch Knight” de Ridder, enters the Octagon with a world-class grappling pedigree.Fighting Styles: Borralho is a “new-age” fighter—a technical striker with a heavy wrestling base and a high fight IQ. De Ridder is a pure submission specialist; his mission is to drag you into deep water and find the neck.The Verdict: While De Ridder is dangerous, Borralho is too well-rounded and has the warrior’s spirit to keep this fight standing where he has the edge.
Fighter Comparison: Borralho vs. De Ridder.
| Feature | Caio Borralho | Reinier de Ridder |
|---|---|---|
| Total Fights | 20 | 24 |
| Wins | 17 | 21 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
| Draws / NC | 1 | 0 |
| Age | 33 | 35 |
| Height | 6′ 1″ | 6′ 4″ |
| Weight | 185 lbs | 185 lbs |
| Reach | 75 in | 79 in |
| Betting Odds | -250 (Favorite) | +210 (Underdog) |
Official Pick: Caio Borralho via Unanimous Decision.
The Young Lion vs. The Gritty Vet: Raul Rosas Jr. vs. Rob Font
This is a classic “passing of the torch” type of fight. Raul Rosas Jr., the youngest fighter on the roster, is coming off a dominant performance where he showcased his improved striking and relentless pressure. Rob Font, a staple of the Bantamweight top 10, is looking to bounce back after a tough loss where he struggled with the wrestling of his opponent.
- The Breakdown: Font has world-class pocket boxing, but Rosas Jr. is a grappling hurricane. We give the “Problem Child” a 70% chance of neutralizing Font’s jab and securing the win.
- The Goal: Rosas Jr. needs to avoid the championship rounds fatigue and secure an early finish.
Fighter Comparison: Raul Rosas Jr. vs. Rob Font.
| Feature | Raul Rosas Jr. | Rob Font |
|---|---|---|
| Total Fights | 12 | 31 |
| Wins | 11 | 21 |
| Losses | 1 | 10 |
| Draws / NC | 0 | 0 |
| Age | 21 | 38 |
| Height | 5′ 9″ | 5′ 8″ |
| Weight | 135 lbs | 135 lbs |
| Reach | 67 in | 71.5 in |
| Betting Odds | -220 (Favorite) | +176 (Underdog) |
Official Pick: Raul Rosas Jr. via Submission.
Violence Guaranteed: Drew Dober vs. Michael Jackson
Expect fireworks. Drew Dober is coming off a hard-fought battle, and while he’s the veteran with the Iron Chin, Michael Jackson is entering as the slight betting favorite due to his recent momentum. However, never count out Dober’s power.
- The Prediction: Jackson may have the hype, but Dober has the “Touch of Death” in his left hand. We believe there is a 60% chance Dober finds the chin and ends the night early.
Fighter Comparison: Drew Dober vs. Michael Jackson.
| Feature | Drew Dober | Michael Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Total Fights | 44 | 44 |
| Wins | 28 | 25 |
| Losses | 15 | 19 |
| Draws / NC | 1 | 0 |
| Age | 37 | 34 |
| Height | 5′ 8″ | 5′ 10″ |
| Weight | 155 lbs | 155 lbs |
| Reach | 70 in | 73 in |
| Betting Odds | +110 (Underdog) | -130 (Favorite) |
Official Pick: Drew Dober via 2nd Round KO.
The Grudge Rematch: Gregory Rodriguez vs. Brunno Ferreira
This is personal. Brunno “The Hulk” Ferreira previously shocked the world by knocking out Gregory “Robocop” Rodriguez. Now, they meet again. Rodriguez is coming off a win where he looked more composed, but Ferreira’s explosive power is a constant threat.
- The 50/50 War: This is a toss-up. Rodriguez has the better technique, but Ferreira has the psychological edge from the first fight. This will be a brutal exchange from the opening bell.
Fighter Comparison: Gregory Rodriguez vs. Brunno Ferreira.
| Feature | Gregory Rodriguez | Brunno Ferreira |
|---|---|---|
| Total Fights | 24 | 17 |
| Wins | 18 | 15 |
| Losses | 6 | 2 |
| Draws / NC | 0 | 0 |
| Age | 34 | 33 |
| Height | 6′ 3″ | 5′ 10″ |
| Weight | 185 lbs | 185 lbs |
| Reach | 75 in | 72 in |
| Betting Odds | -196 (Pick’em) | +158 (Pick’em) |
Official Pick: Gregory Rodriguez via KO.
UFC 326: Preliminary Card Predictions
- Cody Garbrandt def. Long Xiao.
- Donte Johnson def. Cody Brundage.
- Alberto Montes def. Ricky Turcios.
- Nyamjargal Tumendemberel def. Cody Durden.
- Su Mudaerji def. Jesus Aguilar.
- Rafael Tobias def. Diyar Nurgozhay.
- Lee Jeong Yeong def. Gaston Bolanos.
- Luke Fernandez def. Rodolfo Bellato.
That wraps up our full-card breakdown and predictions for this massive event! We’ve analyzed the stats, felt the momentum, and placed our bets. Now, we want to hear from the Score Games MMA community—do you agree with our picks, or do you see some major upsets on the horizon?
If you have any suggestions, different takes, or want to share your own parlay, drop a comment below! Let’s get the conversation started before the first bell rings.